A primer on statistical outbreak analysis

/ [lectures]   / #epicurve #delays #uncertainty #variability #reproduction number #forecasting 

This short lecture gives a primer on some methodological aspects of outbreak analysis. It includes content on the estimation of key delays (e.g. incubation period, serial interval) and the characterisation of the underlying distributions, the estimation of growth rates, doubling times, of the basic reproduction number and simple short-term forecasting.


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About this document


  • Thibaut Jombart: initial version

Contributions are welcome via pull requests. The source file can be found here.

License: CC-BY Copyright: Thibaut Jombart, 2017